Pediatric risk of mortality (PRISM) score in meningococcal disease

Eur J Pediatr. 2000 Apr;159(4):232-6. doi: 10.1007/s004310050060.

Abstract

To assess the pediatric risk of mortality (PRISM) score as a prognostic scoring system in severe meningococcal disease, the files of 53 consecutive patients admitted to a tertiary pediatric intensive care with a clinical diagnosis of meningococcal disease and positive cultures from blood and/or cerebrospinal fluid were analysed. PRISM-score-based expected mortality was compared with observed mortality. Expected mortality in the whole study population was 29% while observed mortality was 19% (P<0.05). The highest expected and observed mortality was found in septicaemic patients without (documented) meningitis, while meningitis patients without septicaemia had the lowest mortality. All patients with a mortality risk below 18.3% (n = 29) survived whereas all those with a mortality risk of 65% or higher (n = 7) died. Of the 17 patients with a mortality risk between 18.3% and 63.9%, 14 survived and 3 died. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.94, which is at least comparable with the best-performing meningococcal-disease-specific scoring systems.

Conclusion: The PRISM score is a useful generic measure of severity of illness in meningococcal disease and can be used to determine the effectiveness of different treatment strategies.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Meningococcal Infections / mortality*
  • Prognosis
  • ROC Curve
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Sepsis / mortality