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Transmission of multidrug-resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis in Shanghai, China: a retrospective observational study using whole-genome sequencing and epidemiological investigation

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Summary

Background

Multidrug-resistance is a substantial threat to global elimination of tuberculosis. Understanding transmission patterns is crucial for control of the disease. We used a genomic and epidemiological approach to assess recent transmission of multidrug-resistant (MDR) tuberculosis and identify potential risk factors for transmission.

Methods

We did a population-based, retrospective study of patients who tested positive for tuberculosis between Jan 1, 2009, and Dec 31, 2012, in Shanghai, China. We did variable-number-of-tandem-repeat genotyping and whole-genome sequencing of isolates. We measured strain diversity within and between genomically clustered isolates. Genomic and epidemiological data were combined to construct transmission networks.

Findings

367 (5%) of 7982 patients with tuberculosis had MDR tuberculosis and 324 (88%) of these had isolates available for genomic analysis. 103 (32%) of the 324 MDR strains were in 38 genomic clusters that differed by 12 or fewer single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), indicating recent transmission of MDR strains. Patients who had delayed diagnosis or were older than 45 years had high risk of recent transmission. 235 (73%) patients with MDR tuberculosis probably had transmission of MDR strains. Transmission network analysis showed that 33 (87%) of the 38 clusters accumulated additional drug-resistance mutations through emergence or fixation of mutations during transmission. 68 (66%) of 103 clustered MDR strains had compensatory mutations of rifampicin resistance.

Interpretation

Recent transmission of MDR tuberculosis strains, with increasing drug-resistance, drives the MDR tuberculosis epidemic in Shanghai, China. Whole-genome sequencing can measure of the heterogeneity of drug-resistant mutations within and between hosts and help to determine the transmission patterns of MDR tuberculosis.

Funding

National Science and Technology Major Project, National Natural Science Foundation of China, and US National Insitutes of Health.

Introduction

The worldwide emergence of multidrug-resistant (MDR) tuberculosis threatens the global eradication of tuberculosis. An estimated 480 000 cases of MDR tuberculosis occurred worldwide in 2015, but only one in ten cases were diagnosed, treated, and cured.1 As well as acquisition of MDR tuberculosis during treatment for tuberculosis, person-to-person transmission of MDR strains occurs and can be increased by delayed diagnosis, prolonged treatment, and unfavourable treatment outcomes in patients with MDR tuberculosis. Therefore, understanding the causes and transmission patterns of MDR tuberculosis is crucial to inform public health efforts to reduce this disease.2

Molecular epidemiological methods that combine epidemiological investigations and genotyping of Mycobacterium tuberculosis strains provide the means to assess the recent transmission (within 2–3 years) of M tuberculosis and risk factors for transmission.3 However, traditional genotyping methods have limited discriminatory power and are limited in assessing homoplasy, which reduces their accuracy in identifying recent transmissions of M tuberculosis.4 High-throughput whole-genome sequencing provides increased resolution and accuracy over older methods, and is a powerful tool to study the transmission of M tuberculosis.4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 Furthermore, phylogenetic networks based on whole-genome sequencing can be used to identify putative source cases, super-spreaders, and transmission directions in the absence of, or complementary to, extensive epidemiological data.8, 9 However, few studies have applied whole-genome sequencing to address recent transmission of MDR tuberculosis at the population level.5, 10

China has a high prevalence of drug-resistant tuberculosis and the second largest number of MDR cases worldwide.1 The high risk of incident MDR tuberculosis among patients who have previously been treated for tuberculosis has resulted in a common belief that most cases of MDR tuberculosis are due to acquired resistance, and led to the allocation of resources to improve treatment. However, many cases of MDR tuberculosis are due to transmission of MDR strains,11, 12, 13, 14 but few studies provide direct evidence of transmission of MDR tuberculosis at the population level. Thus, we hypothesised that the transmission of MDR strains has a major role in the high prevalence of MDR tuberculosis in China. We did a population-based retrospective study in Shanghai, China, using whole-genome sequencing and epidemiological investigations. We quantified the magnitude of MDR tuberculosis arising from the transmission of MDR strains, tracked transmission patterns, and identified the risk factors for transmission.

Research in context

Evidence before the study

We searched PubMed for molecular epidemiology studies of Mycobacterium tuberculosis that used whole-genome sequencing using the search terms “tuberculosis”, “multidrug resistance”, “whole genome sequencing”, and “transmission”. We only selected articles published in English before Oct 31, 2016. We identified 20 studies published from 2011 in which whole-genome sequencing was used to investigate transmission of M tuberculosis at the population level. We also searched the China Knowledge Resource Integrated Database, with the same search terms, for relevant papers published in Chinese, but did not identify any studies. In 2011, Gardy and colleagues applied whole-genome sequencing-based analysis to a large mycobacterial interspersed-repetitive-unit–variable-number tandem-repeat cluster of M tuberculosis and showed that whole-genome sequencing had higher resolution compared with traditional genotyping. Walker and colleagues evaluated the potential of whole-genome sequencing to delineate outbreaks of M tuberculosis and to measure the recent transmission of M tuberculosis in the UK. In a large-scale population-based study using whole-genome sequencing, Guerra-Assunção and colleagues showed that most cases of tuberculosis in a high-incidence setting in Malawi were caused by just one lineage of M tuberculosis. Casali and colleagues investigated the long-term evolution and endemic spread of MDR tuberculosis in a Russian population, and an additional study of an outbreak of isonazid-resistant tuberculosis in London identified a cluster of multidrug-resistant (MDR) strains, which involved rare rifampin-resistant mutations.

Added value of this study

Although several studies used whole-genome sequencing to track transmission of M tuberculosis, few studies used this approach to address transmission of MDR tuberculosis at the population level. To our knowledge, we describe the first population-based study combining genomics with detailed epidemiological data to identify transmission pathways of MDR tuberculosis in a region over time in China, the country with the second highest number of MDR tuberculosis cases in the world. We provide direct evidence of the emergence of diversity in M tuberculosis subpopulations within hosts and the fixation of specific subpopulations of M tuberculosis between hosts along a chain of transmission. Meanwhile, many MDR strains became more resistant during the recent transmission. Inadequate treatment was considered to be the most common way of developing MDR tuberculosis; however, our data show that most of the patients in our study population who had MDR tuberculosis had been infected with MDR strains. We also found that a majority of transmission events occurred in settings such as residential communities or complexes and related public facilities.

Implications of all the available evidence

Whole-genome sequencing provides greater precision than traditional genotyping to study recent transmission of MDR strains of M tuberculosis. Whole-genome sequencing is also useful to detect heterogeneity of strain diversity within and between hosts, which can be used to infer the transmission trajectory of MDR strains. Our findings suggest that strategies and interventions to halt ongoing transmission of MDR strains should be a priority for tuberculosis control programmes in China and other settings with a high burden of MDR tuberculosis.

Section snippets

Study design and population

Shanghai is the most populous city in China, with an estimated population of 24 million, and has a reasonably well-functioning tuberculosis control programme. All patients with suspected pulmonary tuberculosis are referred to local designated hospitals, where the diagnosis is made by sputum smear and culture. Through a routine surveillance system, all cases of tuberculosis are reported to Shanghai Municipal Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

This population-based, retrospective

Results

7982 patients tested positive for M tuberculosis and had their isolates sent for drug susceptibility testing during the study (figure 1). Of the 324 patients with MDR tuberculosis who had a clinical isolate suitable for analysis (figure 1; appendix p 10), 191 (59%) were treatment-naive, 238 (73%) were male, and the median age was 39 years (range 16–88).

VNTR genotyping analysis showed that 125 (39%) of 324 patients with MDR tuberculosis had isolates with genotypic patterns that were identical to

Discussion

Our strategy combined traditional genotyping, whole-genome sequencing, and epidemiological investigation. Transmission of MDR strains accounted for most (73%) cases of MDR tuberculosis overall. Residential communities or complexes, and related public facilities, were the most common transmission settings. Whole-genome sequencing analyses were highly informative to determine the transmission patterns of MDR strains and the ongoing acquisition of additional antibiotic resistance during

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