Prediction of near-future health change from subjects' preceding life changes

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Abstract

A prospective test of the life change and subsequent illness hypothesis was carried out utilizing virtually the entire complements aboard three U.S. Navy cruisers, 2664 men, who completed a life changes questionnaire prior to a cruise of from 6–8 months' duration. Cruise preiod illness data was subsequently gathered on over 90 per cent of those men sampled by questionnaire. The results, across ships, indicated a low-order, positive relationship between crew members' pre-cruise life change intensity and their number of reported illness throughout their time at sea. In support of previous retrospective pilot studies, a linear relationship was seen between the subjects' recent life changes intensities and their cruise period illness rates.

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    Report Number 70-18, supported by the Bureau of Medicine and Surgery, Navy Department, under Research Work Unit MF12.524.001-9002. Opinions expressed are those of the authors and are not to be construed as necessarily reflecting the official view or endorsement of the Department of the Navy.

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