Table 2

Summary of observed (A) presentations and (B) for pandemic year 5 and estimated presentations if there had not been a pandemic

A. Presentations	Observed		Estimated had there not been a pandemic		Absolute difference		Relative difference
A. Presentations	Pandemic (year 5)	Percentage	Pandemic (year 5)	Percentage	Mean	95% CI	Relative difference
All	23 360	100.0	37 740	100.0	−14 380	−12 784 to −15 977
Males	11 623	49.8	19 581	51.9	−7958	−7062 to −8855
Females	11 725	50.2	18 318	48.5	−6593	−5815 to −7371
0 to 4 years	7680	32.9	13 100	34.7	−5420	−4749 to −6092
five to 10 years	3483	14.9	6282	16.6	−2799	−2435 to −3163
eleven to 17 years	4718	20.2	7859	20.8	−3141	−2638 to −3643
18 to 24 years	7479	32.0	11 337	30.0	−3858	−3261 to −4456
White ethnicity	18 822	80.6	30 546	80.9	−11 725	−10 438 to −13 012
Non-white ethnicity	2597	11.1	4384	11.6	−1690	−1424 to −1957
Low deprivation	6691	28.6	11 583	30.7	−4892	−4416 to −5367
Moderate deprivation	9026	38.6	14 388	38.1	−5362	−4746 to −5979
High deprivation	7538	32.3	12 495	33.1	−4957	−4358 to −5556
Respiratory infections	1872	8.0	4624	12.3	−1526	−2752 to −3354
Asthma/wheeze	579	2.5%	1313	3.5	−737	−600 to −869
Gastrointestinal infections	473	3.3	1198	3.2	−768	−656 to −880
Surgical	1541	6.6	1535	4.1	6	167 to −156
Mental health	1441	6.2	2066	5.5	−625	−495 to −754
Trauma	3523	16.7	5281	14.0	−1758	−1269 to −2247
Burns/scalds	379	1.6	390	1.0	−11	45 to −68
Allergy	219	0.9	262	0.7	−43	3 to −89

B. Admissions	Observed		Estimated had there not been a pandemic		Absolute difference		Relative difference
B. Admissions	Pandemic (Year 5)	Percentage	Pandemic (year 5)	Percentage	Mean	95% CI	Relative difference
All	5293	100.0	6911	100.0	−1618	−1203 to −2033
Males	2447	47.3	3510	50.8	−1063	−853 to −1273
Females	2842	52.7	3678	53.2	−836	−595 to −1078
0–4 years	1146	26.1	1566	22.7	−420	−277 to −562
5–10 years	501	10.0	525	7.6	−24	45 to −93
11–17 years	1145	17.9	1195	17.3	−50	88 to −187
18–24 years	2501	46.1	3606	52.2	−1105	−868 to −1341
White ethnicity	4260	88.2	5924	85.7	−1664	−1317 to −2012
Non-white ethnicity	567	11.8	797	11.5	−218	−142 to −294
Low deprivation	1518	27.8	1597	23.1	−79	92 to −250
Moderate deprivation	2045	37.4	2981	43.1	−936	−756 to −1116
High deprivation	1694	34.8	2893	41.9	−1200	−1062 to −1338
Respiratory infections	359	6.8	913	13.2	−554	−420 to −689
Asthma/wheeze	314	5.9	547	7.9	−233	−162 to −305
Gastrointestinal infections	69	1.3	–		–
Surgical	764	14.4	659	9.5	−96	194 to −1
Mental health	771	14.6	1078	15.6	−307	−214 to −400
Trauma	355	6.7	643	9.3	−288	−230 to −346
Burns/scalds	8	0.2	–		–
Allergy	59	1.1	–		–

Data are counts (percentages). Differences represent absolute (table) and relative (figure) differences (95% CIs) between estimated presentations or admissions had there not been a pandemic and observed presentations or admissions. Estimates are based on the time series analysis data from years 1–4. Year 5: 13 March 2020–25 February 2021 (50 weeks). Some admission estimates missing as there were insufficient admission each week to generate a time series equation. Time series models are presented in online supplemental figure S2–S11, S20–S24.