Table 2

Relative risk (RR) of death by calendar month, age, sex, deprivation, region and ethnicity; with estimates of RR between years and the number of excess deaths calculated

Measure	Comparison of deaths between 2019 and 2020 (April–March)					p_interaction
Measure	2019	2020	Excess deaths	RR	P value	p_interaction
All deaths	3423	3067	−356 (−514 to −198)	0.90 (0.85 to 0.94)	<0.001
Stratified by month of death						0.181
April	262	268	6 (−39 to 51)	1.02 (0.86 to 1.21)	0.794
May	270	269	−1 (−47 to 45)	1.00 (0.84 to 1.18)	0.966
June	238	234	−4 (−47 to 39)	0.98 (0.82 to 1.18)	0.854
July	261	263	2 (−43 to 47)	1.01 (0.85 to 1.20)	0.930
August	308	263	−45 (−92 to 2)	0.85 (0.72 to 1.01)	0.060
September	275	245	−30 (−75 to 15)	0.89 (0.75 to 1.06)	0.189
October	294	221	−73 (−117 to −29)	0.75 (0.63 to 0.90)	0.001
November	318	245	−73 (−120 to −26)	0.77 (0.65 to 0.91)	0.002
December	333	267	−66 (−114 to −18)	0.80 (0.68 to 0.94)	0.007
January	315	283	−32 (−80 to 16)	0.90 (0.77 to 1.05)	0.191
February	256	237	−19 (−63 to 25)	0.93 (0.78 to 1.10)	0.392
March	293	272	−21 (−68 to 26)	0.93 (0.79 to 1.09)	0.377
Stratified by age						<0.001
Less than 1 year	2155	1993	−162 (−288 to −36)	0.92 (0.87 to 0.98)	0.012
1–4 years	394	264	−130 (−180 to −80)	0.67 (0.57 to 0.78)	<0.001
5–9 years	243	197	−46 (−87 to −5)	0.81 (0.67 to 0.98)	0.029
10–14 years	289	274	−15 (−62 to 32)	0.95 (0.80 to 1.12)	0.527
15–17 years	342	339	−3 (−54 to 48)	0.99 (0.85 to 1.15)	0.908
Stratified by sex						0.926
Male	1901	1683	−218 (−335 to −101)	0.89 (0.83 to 0.95)	<0.001
Female	1466	1304	−162 (−265 to −59)	0.89 (0.83 to 0.96)	0.002
Stratified by deprivation measure*						0.912
1/2	1134	1012	−122 (−213 to −31)	0.89 (0.82 to 0.97)	0.008
3/4	764	692	−72 (−147 to 3)	0.91 (0.82 to 1.00)	0.059
5/6	616	529	−87 (−153 to −21)	0.86 (0.76 to 0.96)	0.010
7/8	476	413	−63 (−121 to −5)	0.87 (0.76 to 0.99)	0.035
9/10	364	339	−25 (−77 to 27)	0.93 (0.80 to 1.08)	0.346
Stratified by region						0.885
East Midlands	283	251	−32 (−77 to 13)	0.89 (0.75 to 1.05)	0.166
East of England	339	278	−61 (−110 to −12)	0.82 (0.70 to 0.96)	0.014
London	609	563	−46 (−113 to 21)	0.92 (0.82 to 1.04)	0.179
North East	154	138	−16 (−49 to 17)	0.90 (0.71 to 1.13)	0.349
North West	500	431	−69 (−129 to −9)	0.86 (0.76 to 0.98)	0.024
South East	468	403	−65 (−123 to −7)	0.86 (0.75 to 0.98)	0.028
South West	252	235	−17 (−60 to 26)	0.93 (0.78 to 1.11)	0.441
West Midlands	451	436	−15 (−73 to 43)	0.97 (0.85 to 1.10)	0.615
Yorkshire and Humber	367	332	−35 (−87 to 17)	0.90 (0.78 to 1.05)	0.186
Stratified by ethnic group						0.153
Asian or Asian British	557	462	−95 (−158 to −32)	0.83 (0.73 to 0.94)	0.003
Black or black British	252	247	−5 (−49 to 39)	0.98 (0.82 to 1.17)	0.823
Mixed	188	156	−32 (−68 to 4)	0.83 (0.67 to 1.03)	0.085
Other	94	65	−29 (−54 to −4)	0.69 (0.50 to 0.95)	0.022
White	1855	1721	−134 (−251 to −17)	0.93 (0.87 to 0.99)	0.025

Numbers are frequency counts or RR plus 95% CI as appropriate.
RR derived from Negative Binomial Model (all alpha values approximating to 0).
Bolded rows represent periods of national lockdown.
Some demographic data missing, so denominators may vary between analyses.
*Level one is most deprived area, 10 is least deprived.