Benefits of vaccinating children | |
(1) Protection against COVID-19 | Good justification if risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection is high Risk of harm from vaccination lower than risk of harm from COVID-1991 Clear benefit for children with risk factors for severe COVID-1941 Risk of hospitalisation and death from COVID-19 is commensurate with or higher than other diseases in routine immunisation programme42 Higher disease burden of COVID-19 in children in LMICs with comorbidities that impact immunity33 Higher immunogenicity of mRNA vaccines in children might mean one or lower dose sufficient25 Adolescents have a higher frequency of infection and disease burden than younger children
| Children are less likely to get infected after a SARS-CoV-2 exposure77 111–114 Most children have asymptomatic or mild COVID-191–8 A large proportion of children might already be immune to SARS-CoV-2 in many regions of the world Risk of COVID-19 in children might be less if large proportion of adult population is vaccinated
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(2) Protection against severe COVID-19 |
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(3) Protection against PIMS-TS |
| No data yet on whether vaccination prevents PIMS-TS Risk of PIMS-TS is low, and children mainly recover without sequelae11–19 COVID-19 vaccination might increase risk of PIMS-TS (no evidence to date)
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(4) Protection against long COVID-19 |
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(5) Prevention of community transmission | Children, even young children, can transmit SARS-CoV-2115 Prevention of transmission to other children and older age groups Prevention of transmission to high-risk household members Herd immunity likely inachievable without vaccinating children and adolescents Reduction in the risk of new VOC emerging Risk of transmission might be changing with emergence of new VOC (eg, Delta) Potential considerable indirect benefit (eg, schools remaining open) to children even if no direct benefit (see (6)) ‘No one is safe until we are all safe’
| No data yet on whether vaccination prevents transmission in children Transmission in educational settings is rare and index cases are often adults78–81 Index cases in households much more likely to be a parent or adolescent6 Community transmission will decrease if sufficient adults are vaccinated69 Subjecting children to potential risk of vaccine adverse effects to drive indirect effects with little or no direct benefit might be ethically questionable Effect of vaccination on transmission might decrease with waning immunity and emergence of VOC Primary infection at young age when the disease is mild combined with boosting exposure from ongoing transmission at older age might be better strategy90
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(6) Avoidance of indirect harms, including quarantine, school closure and other harms of lockdowns | Transmission in school can contribute to the circulation of SARS-CoV-277 Lockdowns and school closures have a major impact on physical and mental health of children116 Vaccinated children might be exempt from quarantine COVID-19 vaccination might become a requirement for international travel
| Might not be sufficient to prevent school closures and lockdowns (especially if a large proportion of adults are not vaccinated) Might not be necessary to prevent school closures and lockdowns, especially if adult staff are all immunised
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Risks of vaccinating children | |
(1) Risk of adverse effects | Myocarditis after mRNA vaccines is transient and usually without sequelae91 No reports of thrombosis after viral vector vaccines in children and adolescents to date99 No reports of PIMS-TS after vaccination to date
| Myocarditis after mRNA vaccines including need for intensive care91–98 117 Potential risk of thrombosis after viral vector vaccines Potential trigger for PIMS-TS (no evidence to date)
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(2) Long-term safety | | Long-term safety in children, including following myocarditis, unknown If concerns arise, this might lead to decrease in vaccine confidence and vaccine uptake, including against other diseases102 No studies to date have evaluated co-administration with other vaccines
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(3) Vaccine supply |
| Current limited vaccine supply should be prioritised for people at high risk of severe disease and death Vaccine supply might be better used for adults in LMICs where <5% of population have been vaccinated103
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(4) Cost |
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(5) Other immunisation programmes | |
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