Table 4

Performance characteristics of NHSIII PEWS score ≥2

Data analysedSensitivity
95% CI
Specificity
95% CI
Positive predictive value
95% CI
Negative predictive value
95% CI
Positive likelihood ratio
95% CI
Negative likelihood ratio
95% CI
Area under the curve
95% CI
All data—all ages73.2%
62.2 to 82.4
75.2%
74.3 to 76.1
2.6%
2.0 to 3.4
99.7%
99.5 to 99.8
3.0
2.6 to 3.4
0.36
0.25 to 0.51
0.83
0.77 to 0.88
All data—0–11 months45.5%
28.1 to 63.7
82.2%
80.9 to 83.5
2.4%
1.4 to 3.9
99.4%
99.0 to 99.6
2.6
1.8 to 3.8
0.66
0.49 to 0.91
0.74
0.66 to 0.82
All data—14 years87.5%
67.6 to 97.3
68.0
66.4 to 69.6
2.0%
1.2 to 3.0
99.9%
99.6 to 100
2.7
2.3 to 3.2
0.18
0.06 to 0.53
0.85
0.75 to 0.96
All data—5–12 years96.0%
79.7 to 99.9
76.0%
73.4 to 78.5
8.3%
5.4 to 12.1
99.9%
99.3 to 100
4.0
3.5 to 4.6
0.05
0.01 to 0.36
0.97
0.93 to 1.00
Complete data—all ages80.0%
28.4 to 99.5
81.0%
77.2 to 84.5
4.3%
1.2 to 10.5
99.7%
98.6 to 100
4.2
2.6 to 6.8
0.25
0.04 to 1.43
0.88
0.77 to 0.99
  • Analysis on restricted datasets.

  • No adverse outcomes occurred in children over 12 years of age, so performance characteristics cannot be calculated for the fourth age group defined in the NHSIII PEWS.

  • NHSIII, National Health Service Institute for Innovation and Improvement; PEWS, Paediatric Early Warning System.