Table 1

Infant mortality in relation to travel time to hospitals in Cumbria, 1950–93 by time period and adjusted for demographic risk factors (year of birth, social class, birth order, multiple births)

Accessibility function1950–591960–691970–791980–931950–93
CasesOR (95% CI)pCasesOR (95% CI)pCasesOR (95% CI)pCasesOR (95% CI)pOR (95% CI)p
Early neonatal death 1048904560323
Travel time (linear)1.00 (0.99–1.00)0.151.00 (1.00–1.01)0.931.00 (0.99–1.00)0.481.00 (0.99–1.01)0.631.00 (0.99–1.00)0.30
Travel time (categorical)
        Category 16651.000.506041.000.983831.000.511981.000.421.000.67
        Category 23050.96 (0.84–1.10)2411.01 (0.87–1.18)1450.91 (0.75–1.10)981.01 (0.79–1.29)0.97 (0.89–1.06)
        Category 3780.87 (0.68–1.10)590.99 (0.75–1.29)320.87 (0.60–1.25)271.32 (0.88–1.96)0.95 (0.81–1.10)
Neonatal death 12671079671413
Travel time (linear)1.00 (0.99–1.00)0.041.00 (0.99–1.00)0.781.00 (0.99–1.01)0.771.00 (0.99–1.01)0.811.00 (0.99–1.00)0.14
Travel time (categorical)
        Category 18121.000.237261.000.944531.000.762541.000.371.000.52
        Category 23640.94 (0.83–1.07)2800.98 (0.85–1.12)1770.94 (0.79–1.12)1251.01 (0.81–1.25)0.96 (0.89–1.04)
        Category 3910.83 (0.67–1.04)731.01 (0.79–1.29)410.94 (0.68–1.30)341.30 (0.91–1.87)0.95 (0.83–1.09)
Postneonatal death 539378259283
Travel time (linear)0.99 (0.99–1.00)0.091.00 (1.00–1.01)0.331.00 (0.99–1.01)0.501.00 (0.99–1.01)0.391.00 (1.00–1.01)0.99
Travel time (categorical)
        Category 13541.000.062531.000.051801.000.471741.000.601.000.81
        Category 21530.90 (0.74–1.09)880.89 (0.69–1.14)670.92 (0.70–1.22)921.14 (0.88–1.47)0.97 (0.86–1.09)
        Category 3320.66 (0.46–0.96)371.47 (1.04–2.09)120.72 (0.40–1.29)170.98 (0.59–1.62)0.95 (0.77–1.17)