Table 3

Performance of the three scoring systems for subgroups

Area under ROC curve (95% CI)Hosmer-Lemeshow p
nPre-ICU PRISMPIMPRISM IIPre-ICU PRISMPIMPRISM II
For n<300 the Hosmer-Lemeshow calculations were performed using quintiles, rather than deciles of risk.
ROC, receiver operating characteristic; CI, confidence interval.
Hospital
    A5920.83 (0.77 to 0.90)0.87 (0.81 to 0.92)0.87 (0.81 to 0.93)<0.0050.0130.18
    B3360.86 (0.75 to 0.96)0.87 (0.78 to 0.97)0.84 (0.70 to 0.97)<0.001<0.0050.34
Age (months)
    <1 920.80 (0.66 to 0.94)0.79 (0.62 to 0.96)0.85 (0.72 to 0.98)0.020.110.27
    1–123380.71 (0.58 to 0.84)0.79 (0.68 to 0.90)0.84 (0.75 to 0.94)<0.0010.020.06
    >124980.89 (0.83 to 0.95)0.92 (0.87 to 0.97)0.88 (0.80 to 0.95)<0.0010.0020.20
Stabilisation times
    <2 hours5280.84 (0.78 to 0.92)0.86 (0.80 to 0.92)0.86 (0.79 to 0.94)<0.0010.030.09
    >2 hours4000.85 (0.75 to 0.95)0.85 (0.75 to 0.98)0.85 (0.72 to 0.97)<0.001<0.010.10
Diagnosis
    Respiratory3620.67 (0.54 to 0.80)0.79 (0.69 to 0.90)0.72 (0.56 to 0.87)0.020.0070.001
    Sepsis2770.90 (0.85 to 0.96)0.89 (0.83 to 0.95)0.94 (0.90 to 0.98)<0.0010.050.05
    Neurological1310.97 (0.94 to 1.00)0.89 (0.70 to 1.00)0.90 (0.73 to 1.00)0.030.080.20
    Other1580.80 (0.68 to 0.93)0.84 (0.74 to 0.95)0.85 (0.77 to 0.94)<0.0010.080.38