Area under ROC curve (95% CI) | Hosmer-Lemeshow p | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
n | Pre-ICU PRISM | PIM | PRISM II | Pre-ICU PRISM | PIM | PRISM II | |
For n<300 the Hosmer-Lemeshow calculations were performed using quintiles, rather than deciles of risk. | |||||||
ROC, receiver operating characteristic; CI, confidence interval. | |||||||
Hospital | |||||||
A | 592 | 0.83 (0.77 to 0.90) | 0.87 (0.81 to 0.92) | 0.87 (0.81 to 0.93) | <0.005 | 0.013 | 0.18 |
B | 336 | 0.86 (0.75 to 0.96) | 0.87 (0.78 to 0.97) | 0.84 (0.70 to 0.97) | <0.001 | <0.005 | 0.34 |
Age (months) | |||||||
<1 | 92 | 0.80 (0.66 to 0.94) | 0.79 (0.62 to 0.96) | 0.85 (0.72 to 0.98) | 0.02 | 0.11 | 0.27 |
1–12 | 338 | 0.71 (0.58 to 0.84) | 0.79 (0.68 to 0.90) | 0.84 (0.75 to 0.94) | <0.001 | 0.02 | 0.06 |
>12 | 498 | 0.89 (0.83 to 0.95) | 0.92 (0.87 to 0.97) | 0.88 (0.80 to 0.95) | <0.001 | 0.002 | 0.20 |
Stabilisation times | |||||||
<2 hours | 528 | 0.84 (0.78 to 0.92) | 0.86 (0.80 to 0.92) | 0.86 (0.79 to 0.94) | <0.001 | 0.03 | 0.09 |
>2 hours | 400 | 0.85 (0.75 to 0.95) | 0.85 (0.75 to 0.98) | 0.85 (0.72 to 0.97) | <0.001 | <0.01 | 0.10 |
Diagnosis | |||||||
Respiratory | 362 | 0.67 (0.54 to 0.80) | 0.79 (0.69 to 0.90) | 0.72 (0.56 to 0.87) | 0.02 | 0.007 | 0.001 |
Sepsis | 277 | 0.90 (0.85 to 0.96) | 0.89 (0.83 to 0.95) | 0.94 (0.90 to 0.98) | <0.001 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
Neurological | 131 | 0.97 (0.94 to 1.00) | 0.89 (0.70 to 1.00) | 0.90 (0.73 to 1.00) | 0.03 | 0.08 | 0.20 |
Other | 158 | 0.80 (0.68 to 0.93) | 0.84 (0.74 to 0.95) | 0.85 (0.77 to 0.94) | <0.001 | 0.08 | 0.38 |