Article Text

Download PDFPDF

Calibration of the paediatric index of mortality in UK paediatric intensive care units
Free

Abstract

AIM To test a paediatric intensive care mortality prediction model for UK use.

METHOD Prospective collection of data from consecutive admissions to five UK paediatric intensive care units (PICUs), representing a broad cross section of paediatric intensive care activity. A total of 7253 admissions were analysed using tests of the discrimination and calibration of the logistic regression equation.

RESULTS The model discriminated and calibrated well. The area under the ROC plot was 0.84 (95% CI 0.819 to 0.853). The standardised mortality ratio was 0.87 (95% CI 0.81 to 0.94). There was remarkable concordance in the performance of the paediatric index of mortality (PIM) within each PICU, and in the performance of the PICUs as assessed by PIM. Variation in the proportion of admissions that were ventilated or transported from another hospital did not affect the results.

CONCLUSION We recommend that UK PICUs use PIM for their routine audit needs. PIM is not affected by the standard of therapy after admission to PICU, the information needed to calculate PIM is easy to collect, and the model is free.

  • mortality
  • intensive care
  • prediction model
View Full Text

Statistics from Altmetric.com

Footnotes

    Request Permissions

    If you wish to reuse any or all of this article please use the link below which will take you to the Copyright Clearance Center’s RightsLink service. You will be able to get a quick price and instant permission to reuse the content in many different ways.

    Linked Articles

    • Archives this month
      BMJ Publishing Group Ltd and Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health
    • Rapid responses
      BMJ Publishing Group Ltd and Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health
    • Rapid responses
      BMJ Publishing Group Ltd and Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health
    • Rapid responses
      BMJ Publishing Group Ltd and Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health