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Serum eosinophilic cationic protein may predict clinical course of wheezing in young children


Thirty eight children aged between 2 and 4 years with three or more episodes of wheezing were studied to evaluate the role of eosinophil inflammation and its relation to persistence of wheezing two years later. Serum eosinophilic cationic protein, total eosinophil count, total IgE, skin prick test, and clinical features were evaluated at visit 1. Two years later at a second clinical evaluation the children were separated into two groups: group 1, those with persistent wheezing (n = 20); group 2, those who had been asymptomatic over the past six months (transient wheezing) (n = 18). Mean (SEM) eosinophilic cationic protein at visit 1 was higher in group 1 than in group 2 (29.63 (5.16) v 14.42 (2.77) μg/l), and the probability of continuing wheezing at age 5 years was greater in children with values ⩾ 20 μg/l at visit 1 than in those with lower values (relative risk = 2.88, 95% confidence interval 1.42 to 5.87, p < 0.001). Eosinophil inflammation is present from the beginning of the disease in the children who are going to continue with wheezing at age 5 years. The measurement of serum eosinophilic cationic protein may help in evaluating which wheezing infants are going to continue with asthma in the future.

  • eosinophil cationic protein
  • childhood asthma
  • wheezing

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It is accepted that asthma is a chronic inflammatory disease of the airways in which eosinophil cells play an important role.1 Performance of lung biopsies and bronchoalveolar lavage in adult asthmatic patients has permitted a better understanding of the pathogenic mechanisms involved.2 These studies have shown the importance of the inflammatory response in asthma and have profoundly changed the way asthma is treated, such that anti-inflammatory drugs are now recommended as first line treatment.3 4 However, as very few studies have evaluated these pathogenic features in children, and those that have have mostly been in older children,5 we cannot assume that the same inflammatory processes play the central role in asthma in young children.6 7 Recently, investigators have been considering the possibility of changing the natural course of asthma by aggressive anti-inflammatory treatment during the initial phases of airway inflammation.

Asthma generally starts during the first years of life. However, young wheezing children are a heterogeneous group. About 60% of early wheezers suffer transitory disease and become asymptomatic when they reach 5–6 years of age, with only 40% continuing with asthma at this age. Children who have transitory wheezing during infancy have lower indices of pulmonary function measured at birth than the children with persistent wheezing.8 It has been shown that children with severe asthma and those with atopy9 10 are the ones who will continue with asthma when they reach adulthood. Identifying infants who will go on to develop persistent wheezing, and determining whether inhaled anti-inflammatory drugs11 or other treatments12 can block the processes leading to chronic asthma are important challenges in the prevention of this common disease.13

The possibility of determining serum and urinary markers of activity of the cells responsible for bronchial inflammation has made evaluating inflammation much easier in children.14 Of these markers, eosinophilic cationic protein is among the most studied.15 Eosinophilic cationic protein is a specific protein liberated by eosinophil cells when they are activated. There is a good correlation between concentrations of this protein in serum and in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid in adults,16 although this has not been studied in children. Airway function and bronchial hyperresponsiveness also have significant though weak correlations with serum eosinophilic cationic protein.17 Serum concentrations of the protein do not correlate directly with the peripheral blood eosinophil count but with the activity of these cells.18 Some studies have suggested that serum eosinophilic cationic protein may be a useful measure of both eosinophil activation and airway inflammation of children with asthma.19 20 There is little information, however, about the role of eosinophils and their mediators in wheezing illness during infancy.21

Our study was designed to evaluate the importance of eosinophilic inflammation in wheezing children in the first years of life, and to identify factors at onset of the disease—including measurement of serum eosinophilic cationic protein as a marker of eosinophilic inflammation—that may predict the persistence of wheezing at age 5 years.



Study participants were outpatients between 2 and 4 years of age who came to our centre with a clinical history of wheezing (defined as three or more episodes of wheezing before visit 1) between January and May 1993. Patients with a clinical history suggestive of other respiratory or heart diseases, those with neonatal pathology, and those who had taken systemic or inhaled corticosteroids or cromoglycate in the previous three months were excluded. Thirty eight patients (24 boys and 14 girls) were enrolled. Mean (SD) age at recruitment was 3.08 (0.79) years.


This was an observational study that did not affect usual patient management. On the first visit we recorded clinical data: severity of disease, previous bronchiolitis, parental asthma or atopy, exposure to tobacco, and atopic dermatitis. A prick test was performed with the most common allergens, and a blood sample was obtained for measurement of serum eosinophilic cationic protein, eosinophil count, and total IgE. After this visit the patients were treated according to a standard protocol.7 The laboratory results were not communicated to the physician.

The second visit took place in May 1995 (two years after visit 1). The attending physician did not know the results of the medical and laboratory data recorded on the previous visit. We obtained information on the clinical course of the disease, including the need for medical treatment. A prick test was done, a new blood sample was obtained to repeat the above determinations, and in patients who were able to cooperate spirometry was performed. We classed children as persistent wheezers if they had had at least one wheezing episode over the past six months (autumn and winter) or if they had cough or dyspnoea with exercise (group 1, persistent wheezers). The second group were children who had been asymptomatic during the past six months (group 2, transient wheezers).


Blood samples were drawn in Vacutainer SST tubes and, after allowing clotting for one hour, blood was centrifuged for 10 minutes. Serum was freshly frozen and stored at −20°C until analysed. Serum concentrations of eosinophilic cationic protein were measured in duplicate by a commercially available fluorescent immunoassay technique (Pharmacia CAP FEIA), with a detection limit below 0.5 μg/l; within assay coefficient of variation was 5.8%, and between assay variation 6.2%.22 23 The normal values of eosinophilic cationic protein are 5.5 μg/l in children under 2 years of age, and 14.6 μg/l in children between 4 and 16 years.21 IgE was also measured by fluorescent immunoassay (Pharmacia, Uppsala, Sweden).

Total white blood cell count and total eosinophil count were measured by an automated haematology analyser (Technicon H1, Technicon, New York, USA) in a sample of blood containing EDTA.


Patients were tested by the skin prick method with the most common allergens in our area: Dermatophagoides pteronyssinus,Dermatophagoides pharinae, Alternaria tenuis, cladosporium, grass pollen mixture, Olea europea pollen, cat, dog, and horse; negative control was saline and positive control histamine. The extracts used were from ALK (Hørsholm, Denmark). After 20 minutes, the size of the wheal elicited by each allergen was recorded as the mean of two diameters at right angles to each other (in millimetres). Wheal sizes equal to or greater than that obtained with histamine where considered positive. Subjects were considered atopic if they had at least one positive skin test to aeroallergens.


Lung function was measured in cooperative children, and we rejected measurements that were unreliable. We were able to perform a reliable pulmonary function test in eight children from group 1 and in nine from group 2. Forced vital capacity (FVC), forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1), and maximum mid-expiratory flow (FEF25–75) were measured using a calibrated pneumotachograph system (Jaeger MasterScreen Pneumo; Jaeger, Wuerzburg, Germany) according to standardised guidelines, the best of three measurements being used for analysis. The data are expressed as percentages of expected values.


All statistical analyses were carried out using the Epi Info v 6.1 (CDC and WHO) programs and procedures. The data were analysed by the Student’s t test on means, and in cases where Bartlett’s test for homogeneity of variance resulted in a p value < 0.05 the non-parametric Kruskal-Wallis test was used. Fisher’s exact test was used to compare differences in the percentages of patients with the various markers between children with persistent wheezing and those with transitory wheezing. Values of p < 0.05 or less were considered significant. Numerical values are expressed as mean (SEM).


All the children initially selected were followed for two years. Twenty children continued with wheezing episodes on visit 2 (52.63%) (group 1, persistent wheezers), while 18 remained asymptomatic (group 2, transient wheezers). Clinical and laboratory characteristics of the two groups during visit 1 are shown in table 1. At visit 1 the only differences between the groups were a larger number of asthmatic mothers in group 1 (four of 20) than in group 2 (none of 18) (p = 0.05; single tailed on Fisher’s test), and higher eosinophilic cationic protein concentrations in group 1 than in group 2: 29.63 (5.16) v 14.42 (2.77) μg/l, p < 0.01 (fig 1). The total blood eosinophil count on visit 1 was also higher in group 1, at 358.36 (90.07) v 186.44 (42.80), but the difference was not significant (p = 0.09).

Table 1

Clinical and laboratory characteristics of persistent wheezers (group 1) and transient wheezers (group 2) at visit 1

Figure 1

Serum eosinophilic cationic protein (ECP) in group 1 (persistent wheezers) and group 2 (transient wheezers). Geometric mean concentrations of serum ECP are indicated by black bars. Mean (SEM) ECP concentration in group 1 was 29.63 (5.16) μg/l and in group 2 was 14.42 (2.77) μg/l (p < 0.01).

Results of the tests performed on the second visit are shown in table2. There was a significant difference between the two groups for serum eosinophilic cationic protein (group 1, 35.31 (7.73) μg/lv group 2, 17.02 (2.38) μg/l; p < 0.01) and total eosinophil count (group 1, 491.25 (86.78) v group 2, 256.87 (49.18); p < 0.01).

Table 2

Characteristics of persistent wheezers (group 1) and transient wheezers (group 2) at visit 2

The children in group 1 had a lower FEV1 and FEF25–75 than children in group 2 (table 2), but the difference was not significant.

We analysed the cut off point for serum eosinophilic cationic protein on the first visit that best predicted which children were going to continue wheezing after two years. Figure 2 shows a receiver operating curve (ROC) representing sensitivity and specificity of the test with eosinophilic cationic protein concentrations of 10, 15, 20, 30, and 40 μg/l. The most advantageous cut off point was 20 μg/l, with a sensitivity of 70%, a specificity of 83%, a positive predictive value of 82.4%, and a negative predictive value of 71.4%.

Figure 2

Receiver operating curve (ROC) with the different concentrations of serum eosinophilic cationic protein (ECP) at visit 1 with the sensitivity and specificity for predicting persistent wheezing. The best level to predict persistent wheezing is an ECP of ⩾ 20 μg/l, with a sensitivity of 70%, a specificity of 83.3%, positive predictive value of 82.4%, and negative predictive value of 71.4%.

Of all the variables analysed on visit 1, the only ones with a significant risk ratio (RR) capable of predicting which children will continue to wheeze at visit 2 were an asthmatic mother (RR = 2.2, 95% confidence interval 1.51 to 3.20; p = 0.05) and eosinophilic cationic protein ⩾ 20 μg/l on visit 1 (RR = 2.88, 95% confidence interval 1.42 to 5.87; p < 0.001 (fig 3).

Figure 3

Risk factors at visit 1 for persistent wheezing at visit 2.


The degree to which eosinophil mediated inflammation is involved in young children with asthma and the extent to which such inflammation will determine the prognosis remain unknown. We have studied serum eosinophilic cationic protein as an eosinophil mediated inflammation marker and attempted to correlate this marker with the children’s clinical course over two years.

The proportion of children who continued wheezing at age 5 years was 52.6%, higher than in other studies,8 but our sample was preselected as the children had been sent to a referral centre for study. Serum eosinophilic cationic protein at age 3 years was 22.48 (3.23) μg/l, similar to the value published by Ingram et al for a group of wheezing children aged 2 to 4 years.21 These serum concentrations were higher than those found in the general population.23 However, the concentrations measured in our study cover a very wide range, suggesting that there may be two distinct groups of children, one with eosinophil mediated inflammation and another where inflammation does not play an important role in wheezing (fig 1).

We have tried to correlate serum eosinophilic cationic protein values with the clinical course in these children. We found that children with high serum eosinophilic cationic protein (⩾ 20 μg/l) had a significantly increased risk of persisting asthma two years after the determination; very few children in this category (only three of 17) remained asymptomatic by visit 2. A few children (six of 20) with low serum eosinophilic cationic protein continued to be symptomatic after two years. This could reflect an insufficient follow up time—some children with transitory disease may continue to be symptomatic after two years.

The Tucson study8 showed that children with transient wheezing are born with abnormal pulmonary function, while those with persistent wheezing are born with normal pulmonary function. It has been suggested that children with transient wheezing suffer from this symptom because they are born with abnormally small airways, which predisposes them to airway obstruction with viral infections.24 We have been able to show that our persistent wheezers had high serum eosinophilic cationic protein, which could reflect an eosinophil mediated inflammatory bronchial process from the onset, in contrast with children with transitory wheezing who do not seem to have this bronchial inflammation. It is likely that only the persistent wheezer group has inflammatory asthma, while the other group has anatomically determined wheezing (smaller airway size).

In our study, children with transitory wheezing had normal pulmonary function at age 5–6 years, while the persistent wheezers had abnormal pulmonary function. This difference was not significant owing to the small number of cases in which pulmonary function could be evaluated because of the children’s young age. In the study by Martinez et al,8 at age 6 years both transient and persistent wheezers had abnormal pulmonary function. Transient wheezers in that study already had abnormal pulmonary function at birth, while the persistent wheezers had normal function at birth that deteriorated with age, perhaps reflecting the deleterious effect of the chronic disease on the bronchi. Henderson et al also found a deterioration in lung function in children with a history of recurrent wheezing before the age of 6 years who were sensitised to house dust mites.25 Chronic allergic inflammation of the airways may be responsible for these changes.

Some investigators have suggested that a higher serum IgE value during the first year of life can predict which children will continue wheezing,8 26 but we did not find higher IgE concentrations in the persistent wheezer group.

It is now suggested that early treatment of bronchial inflammation from the onset of the disease may arrest its progress.27 Most asthmatics start developing symptoms at age 2–3 years, but 60% of wheezing children at this age will be asymptomatic when they are 6 years old, so it would be of interest to know which children have a transitory disease and which have early childhood asthma. The latter group would probably benefit from anti-inflammatory drug treatment. There is controversy over the effectiveness of anti-inflammatory treatment for asthma in this age group, and not all studies have shown that inhaled corticosteroids affect the clinical course of the disease. This may reflect the heterogeneous nature of the cases sampled, as in many of these children wheezing may not be related to an inflammatory process.


Our findings suggest that eosinophilic inflammation is present from the onset of the disease in the group of wheezing young children who are going to continue with wheezing episodes at age 5–6 years. Determination of serum eosinophilic cationic protein, along with evaluation of other factors such as family history, may help to determine which children will continue with asthma and could therefore benefit from a more aggressive approach to treatment, and which children merit a more conservative approach as their disease will probably be transitory. Studies with more patients and a longer follow up period are needed to confirm these results.