Table 3

Results for the entire child population stratified by birth cohort, HRs show the adjusted association between the studied risk factors and coeliac disease risk for the period of 1991–2009

Risk factor1991–1996 (n=666 178)1997–2002 (n=529 060)2003–2009 (n=716 966)
HR (95% CI)p ValueHR (95% CI)p ValueHR (95% CI)p Value
Season of birth
 Winter1.001.001.00
 Spring1.12 (1.00 to 1.24)0.041.01 (0.90 to 1.23)0.471.05 (0.90 to 1.21)0.55
 Summer1.10 (0.98 to 1.22)0.091.14 (1.02 to 1.27)0.021.14 (0.97 to 1.33)0.11
 Autumn1.04 (0.93 to 1.17)0.491.24 (1.10 to 1.39)<0.0011.78 (1.64 to 1.92)0.003
Geographical regions
 North1.001.001.00
 Central1.19 (1.06 to 1.34)0.0041.06 (0.94 to 1.19)0.361.28 (1.07 to 1.53)0.008
 South1.51 (1.35 to 1.68)<0.0011.50 (1.34 to 1.69)<0.0011.79 (1.51 to 2.14)<0.001
Sex
 Boys1.001.001.00
 Girls1.73 (1.59 to 1.87)<0.0011.78 (1.64 to 1.92)<0.0012.11 (1.89 to 2.37)<0.001
  • Season of birth is grouped as follows: winter (December, January, February), spring (March, April, May), summer (June, July, August) and autumn (September, October, November). Region of birth is grouped according to the administrative division of nomenclature of territorial units for statistics (NUTS 1) regions.