Table 1

Evaluation of asymptomatic heart murmurs

CitationStudy groupStudy type (level of evidence)OutcomeKey resultComments
Smythe et al (1990) 161 children aged 1 month to 17 years with asymptomatic heart murmur referred to paediatric cardiologistProspective cohort (level 2b)
Reference standard was echocardiography
Correct identification of a pathologic heart murmur after clinical evaluation & then ECGECG led to no change in diagnosis
Clinical evaluation:
Sensitivity = 96%
Specificity = 95 %
PPV = 88%
NPV = 98%
LR+ =19.2
LR− =0.04
Prevalence of heart murmur: up to 50% of paediatric population
Paediatric cardiologist evaluating patients & ECG
Independent reference standard ECHO applied to all but not blinded
Birkebaek et al (1995) 100 children aged 1 month to 15 years with asymptomatic heart murmur referred to general paediatricianProspective cohort (level 2b)
Reference standard was echocardiography
Correct diagnosis of heart murmur after clinical evaluation then ECG & CXR3 abnormal ECGs all evaluated to have heart disease after clinical evaluation CXR:
Sensitivity = 43%
Specificity = 82%
PPV=42%
NPV= 83%
LR+ = 2.36
LR− = 0.70
Independent reference standard ECHO applied blindly to all patients
No prevalence for heart murmurs given
Birkebaek et al (1999) 100 children aged 1 month to 15 years with asymptomatic heart murmur referred to general paediatricianProspective cohort (level 2b)Accuracy of chest x ray evaluation by paediatric radiologistsMean intra-observer k value:
All films = 0.452
Normal films = 0.320
Abnormal films = 0.595
Mean inter-observer k value:
All films = 0.282
Normal films = 0.106
Abnormal films = 0.531
Same cohort of patients as in above paper
Interpretation of chest x ray by a paediatric radiologist is only poorly to moderately reproducible
Temmerman et al (1991) 284 children referred to paediatric cardiologist for cardiology evaluation aged 0.5–17 years (nearly all heart murmurs)Prospective cohort (level 3b)
Reference standard was echocardiography
Correct diagnosis of a heart murmur after clinical evaluation & then CXRCXR led to diagnosis of heart disease in 2.8% of patients diagnosed with normal heart after primary evaluation
In 2.8% of patients with a diagnosis of heart disease after 1st evaluation CXR led to a change in diagnosis to no heart disease
No prevalence given for heart murmurs
Not specified asymptomatic heart murmurs
CXR not performed in all referred patients
Reference standard ECHO not applied to all patients
Swenson et al (1997) 106 children aged 1 month to 14 years with heart murmur or chest pain, referred to paediatric cardiologistProspective cohort (level 4)
Reference standard was echocardiography
Correct diagnosis of heart murmur after clinical evaluation then ECG & CXR4 patients evaluated normal heart, diagnosed heart disease on basis of ECG & CXR
3 patients ECG & CXR misled diagnosis
ECHO only applied to 45/106 patients
Patients included with chest pain ?skewed results as higher proportion of abnormal ECGs than previous studies
Rajakumar et al (1999) 128 children aged 1 month to 18 years referred to paediatric cardiologist with a heart murmurProspective cohort study (level 4)
Reference standard was echocardiography
Correct diagnosis of heart murmur by general paediatrician compared to paediatric cardiologist after clinical evaluation then ECG & CXRGeneral paediatricians clinical evaluation alone/after ECG & CXR
Sensitivity = 79%/82%
Specificity = 55%/54%
PPV = 39%/39%
NPV = 88%/89%
LR+ = 1.76/1.78
LR− = 0.38/ 0.33
Paediatric cardiologist clinical evaluation alone/after ECG & CXR
Sensitivity = 85%/88%
Specificity = 77%/70%
PPV = 57%/51%
NPV = 93%/94%
LR+ = 3.7/2.9
LR− = 0.19/ 0.17
General paediatrician:
ECG & CXR helpful in 2 cases & misleading in 3 cases
Paediatric cardiologists: ECG & CXR misleading in 9 cases & helpful in 5 cases
Reference standard was applied blindly to all 128 patients but 28 patients were excluded from the study (as no ECHO was performed as deemed no heart disease by paed. cardiologists)